Global temperature to hit warmest ever recorded

by Rachel Cunningham
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Rachel Cunningham

A new Met Office study has revealed that the likelihood of the global average temperature being the warmest ever recorded within the next five years now stands at a 48 per cent chance.

This prediction means that the global temperature would exceed 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

The Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update, produced with the World Meteorological Organisation, also indicated a 93 per cent chance that the five-year average global temperature for 2022-2026 will exceed the previous five-year average.

The Met Office’s Dr Leon Hermanson, who led the report, commented: “Our latest climate predictions show that continued global temperature rise will continue, with an even chance that one of the years between 2022 and 2026 will exceed 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

“A single year of exceedance above 1.5C does not mean we have breached the iconic threshold of the Paris Agreement, but it does reveal that we are edging ever closer to a situation where 1.5°C could be exceeded for an extended period.”

The final WMO (World Meteorological Organisation) report on the State of the Global Climate is scheduled for publication on May 18. Its provisional findings have reported that the 2021 global average temperature was 1.1C above the pre-industrial baseline.

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